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National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
DA

Bath City
2 - 2
Dover Athletic

Thomas (66'), Wilson (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hatcher (36'), Allen (58' pen.)
Ojemen (88')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Weymouth
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawDover Athletic
53.37% (4.22 4.22) 24.13% (-1.142 -1.14) 22.5% (-3.079 -3.08)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (1.871 1.87)49.45% (-1.875 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (1.656 1.66)71.49% (-1.66 -1.66)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (2.433 2.43)18.46% (-2.436 -2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (3.958 3.96)49.65% (-3.961 -3.96)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-1.723 -1.72)36.53% (1.72 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67% (-1.776 -1.78)73.32% (1.773 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 53.37%
    Dover Athletic 22.5%
    Draw 24.12%
Bath CityDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.71 0.71)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.768 0.77)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.384 0.38)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.469 0.47)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.54 -0.54)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.531 -0.53)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.885 -0.89)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.563 -0.56)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.631 -0.63)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Bath City
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Weymouth
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 2-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South


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