Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Billericay Town win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Billericay Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
