SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dover Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Braintree Town |
39.87% ( -0.23) | 25.82% ( -0.06) | 34.31% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.31) | 49.6% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( 0.28) | 71.62% ( -0.27) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( 0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( 0.03) | 58.99% ( -0.02) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.33) | 27.67% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( 0.42) | 63.22% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.31% |
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