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National League South | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road
BT

Ebbsfleet
4 - 0
Braintree

Poleon (14', 73'), Cundle (34', 70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-3 Braintree
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawBraintree Town
65.22% (-0.134 -0.13) 20.04% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 14.74% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.69% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.238 0.24)43.71% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.234 0.23)66.1% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)12.61% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (0.070999999999998 0.07)38.71% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (0.33 0.33)42% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (0.284 0.28)78.43% (-0.283 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 65.22%
    Braintree Town 14.74%
    Draw 20.04%
EbbsfleetDrawBraintree Town
2-0 @ 11.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 65.22%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.04%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.99% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-3 Braintree
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-5 Braintree
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South


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