SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Cheshunt |
43.16% ( 0.02) | 25.35% ( 0.01) | 31.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( -0.04) | 48.36% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.03) | 70.5% ( 0.03) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( -0.01) | 22.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.16% ( -0.01) | 55.83% ( 0.01) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.04) | 28.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.04) | 64.73% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.16% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.48% |
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