SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cheshunt had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Cheshunt win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Cheshunt |
56.14% ( 0.3) | 22.58% ( -0.11) | 21.27% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( 0.25) | 44.28% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( 0.24) | 66.66% ( -0.25) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( 0.19) | 15.59% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.42% ( 0.35) | 44.57% ( -0.35) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( -0.05) | 34.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( -0.05) | 71.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.27% |
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