SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braintree Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Concord Rangers |
61.82% ( 0.06) | 21.59% ( -0.02) | 16.59% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( 0.02) | 46.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( 0.02) | 69.21% ( -0.02) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( 0.02) | 14.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.21% ( 0.05) | 42.79% ( -0.05) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.04) | 41.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.98% ( -0.03) | 78.03% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 61.81% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.59% |
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