SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 6.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Concord Rangers |
81.26% ( 0.16) | 12.7% ( -0.09) | 6.04% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.47% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.04% ( 0.11) | 35.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.95% ( 0.12) | 58.05% ( -0.12) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.22% ( 0.06) | 6.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.97% ( 0.15) | 25.03% ( -0.15) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.56% ( -0.15) | 54.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.46% ( -0.09) | 87.54% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 81.25% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 12.7% | 0-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 6.04% |
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