Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
