SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Cheshunt |
49.1% ( -0.16) | 23.72% ( 0) | 27.18% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( 0.1) | 43.5% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( 0.1) | 65.89% ( -0.1) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -0.02) | 17.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( -0.04) | 48.59% ( 0.03) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( 0.16) | 29.4% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% ( 0.2) | 65.39% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 27.18% |
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