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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
46.16% ( -0.05) | 23.75% ( -0.09) | 30.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.02% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( 0.51) | 41.77% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% ( 0.51) | 64.18% ( -0.51) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( 0.18) | 18.33% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( 0.3) | 49.43% ( -0.3) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( 0.35) | 26.51% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( 0.46) | 61.7% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.57% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.09% |
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