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National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium
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Tonbridge Angels
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Gard (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Weston
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDover Athletic
43.5% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 26.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (0.033000000000001 0.03)51.7% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)73.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)23.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)57.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (0.054000000000002 0.05)31.26% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (0.059999999999995 0.06)67.6% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 43.5%
    Dover Athletic 30.45%
    Draw 26.05%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Weston
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Dartford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-5 Oxford City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South


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