Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
Result | ||
Concord Rangers | Draw | St Albans City |
11.34% ( -0.59) | 17.01% ( -0.61) | 71.65% ( 1.19) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.03% ( 1.27) | 37.96% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.77% ( 1.35) | 60.22% ( -1.35) |
Concord Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.4% ( -0.16) | 43.6% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.21% ( -0.13) | 79.79% ( 0.13) |
St Albans City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.66% ( 0.62) | 9.34% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.52% ( 1.45) | 31.48% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Concord Rangers | Draw | St Albans City |
1-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.34% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 17.01% | 0-2 @ 11.44% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 9.05% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 7.51% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 5.36% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 4.45% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 2.54% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 2.11% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 0-6 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 4.07% Total : 71.65% |
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