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National League South | Gameweek 22
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Clarence Park
H&

St Albans City
2 - 0
Havant & W'ville

Moore (25'), Cooper (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
47.06% (2.764 2.76) 24.95% (-0.173 -0.17) 27.99% (-2.589 -2.59)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-1.048 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63% (-0.635 -0.63)48.37% (0.637 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.585 -0.59)70.51% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (0.962 0.96)20.59% (-0.96 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (1.495 1.5)53.13% (-1.495 -1.5)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-2.178 -2.18)31.33% (2.18 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-2.604 -2.6)67.7% (2.606 2.61)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 47.06%
    Havant & Waterlooville 27.99%
    Draw 24.95%
St Albans CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.547 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.656 0.66)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.459 0.46)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.156 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.225 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.459 -0.46)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.429 -0.43)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.28 -0.28)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 St Albans City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Cheshunt
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South


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