Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.