SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
47.06% ( 2.76) | 24.95% ( -0.17) | 27.99% ( -2.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.63) | 48.37% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.59) | 70.51% ( 0.58) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( 0.96) | 20.59% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( 1.5) | 53.13% ( -1.5) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( -2.18) | 31.33% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( -2.6) | 67.7% ( 2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.66)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.46)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.99% |
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