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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Concord Rangers |
60.99% ( -0.22) | 19.73% ( 0.06) | 19.28% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.21% ( -0.07) | 33.79% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.37% ( -0.07) | 55.63% ( 0.07) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.22% ( -0.08) | 10.79% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.2% ( -0.17) | 34.81% ( 0.17) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( 0.11) | 30.65% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( 0.14) | 66.9% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.99% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 19.29% |
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