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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Chelmsford City |
19.68% ( 0.6) | 22.58% ( -0.27) | 57.73% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( 1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.6% ( 1.94) | 46.39% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( 1.79) | 68.67% ( -1.8) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.38% ( 1.77) | 37.62% ( -1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.6% ( 1.69) | 74.4% ( -1.7) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% ( 0.55) | 15.79% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.06% ( 1.02) | 44.94% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.68% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.7) 0-2 @ 10.11% ( -0.45)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.72% |
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