SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | St Albans City |
33.38% ( 0.17) | 24.6% ( 0.04) | 42.03% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.13) | 44.36% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.13) | 66.73% ( 0.13) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( 0.04) | 25.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( 0.05) | 60.64% ( -0.05) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( -0.15) | 21.17% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.96% ( -0.24) | 54.04% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.03% |
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