Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
