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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
0 - 1
Dartford

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Napa (24')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-1 Taunton Town
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDartford
38.17% (-0.193 -0.19) 24.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 37.36% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 59.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)43.19% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)65.59% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)22.54% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.2 -0.2)56.12% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.055000000000007 0.06)22.96% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.080000000000005 0.08)56.74% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 38.17%
    Dartford 37.36%
    Draw 24.47%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDartford
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-3 Hungerford
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-1 Taunton Town
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 2-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Dartford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South


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