Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bath City | Draw | Concord Rangers |
68% ( 0.06) | 18.56% ( -0.04) | 13.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.12% ( 0.08) | 39.87% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.76% ( 0.08) | 62.23% ( -0.09) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% ( 0.04) | 10.74% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.29% ( 0.08) | 34.71% ( -0.09) |
Concord Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.53% ( 0.01) | 41.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.03% ( 0) | 77.97% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bath City | Draw | Concord Rangers |
2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 68% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.56% | 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.43% |
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