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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
CR

Bath City
4 - 0
Concord Rangers

Wilson (40', 51'), Beckett (44' og.), Hayfield (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Bath City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Hungerford
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawConcord Rangers
68% (0.062000000000012 0.06) 18.56% (-0.035 -0.04) 13.43% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (0.080000000000005 0.08)39.87% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)62.23% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (0.036999999999992 0.04)10.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.29% (0.084000000000003 0.08)34.71% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.47% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (0.004999999999999 0)77.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 68%
    Concord Rangers 13.43%
    Draw 18.56%
Bath CityDrawConcord Rangers
2-0 @ 11.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.24% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.6% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.05% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.56%
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Bath City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 St Albans City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Bath City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Hungerford
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 7-0 Concord Rangers
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South


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