SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Taunton Town | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Eastbourne Borough | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Dover Athletic | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Eastbourne Borough | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Dover Athletic | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Tonbridge Angels | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Dover Athletic |
56.1% ( 1.46) | 22.36% ( -0.53) | 21.54% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( 1.24) | 42.96% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( 1.22) | 65.36% ( -1.22) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( 0.93) | 15.15% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.25% ( 1.72) | 43.75% ( -1.73) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( -0.17) | 33.81% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( -0.19) | 70.47% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.1% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.54% |
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