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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
DA

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Dover Athletic

Poleon (18', 85'), Bingham (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawDover Athletic
74.27% (1.439 1.44) 15.62% (-0.694 -0.69) 10.11% (-0.747 -0.75)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (1.139 1.14)34.81% (-1.139 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.22% (1.264 1.26)56.78% (-1.263 -1.26)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02% (0.587 0.59)7.98% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.85% (1.464 1.46)28.15% (-1.464 -1.46)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.32% (-0.595 -0.59)43.68% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (-0.497 -0.5)79.86% (0.497 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 74.27%
    Dover Athletic 10.11%
    Draw 15.62%
EbbsfleetDrawDover Athletic
2-0 @ 11.14%
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.261 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 5.94% (0.327 0.33)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3% (0.245 0.25)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.048 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.27% (0.136 0.14)
6-1 @ 1.05% (0.097 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 74.27%
1-1 @ 7.3% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 15.62%
1-2 @ 3.02% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-1 @ 2.89% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 10.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Chippenham
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 4-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Hungerford
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Weymouth
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League


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