SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Worthing | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Oxford City | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Dover Athletic | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Braintree Town | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dover Athletic |
74.27% ( 1.44) | 15.62% ( -0.69) | 10.11% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( 1.14) | 34.81% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.22% ( 1.26) | 56.78% ( -1.26) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.02% ( 0.59) | 7.98% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.85% ( 1.46) | 28.15% ( -1.46) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0.59) | 43.68% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.14% ( -0.5) | 79.86% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.14% 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3% ( 0.25)5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.14)6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 74.27% | 1-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.02% Total : 15.62% | 1-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.11% |
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