SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Farnborough Town | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheshunt | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Concord Rangers | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Dartford | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | St Albans City | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dartford |
26.02% ( 0.23) | 24.33% ( 0.13) | 49.65% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( -0.39) | 47.08% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( -0.36) | 69.32% ( 0.36) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.02) | 32.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% ( -0.02) | 68.67% ( 0.02) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( -0.29) | 19.01% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( -0.49) | 50.57% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.02% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.65% |
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