SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
20.73% ( 0.01) | 23.07% ( 0) | 56.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% ( -0.01) | 47.07% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% ( -0.01) | 69.31% ( 0) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( 0.01) | 36.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( 0.01) | 73.71% ( -0.01) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( -0.01) | 16.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( -0.01) | 46.32% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.73% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 5.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% 0-4 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 56.2% |
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