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National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
EU

Dover Athletic
1 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Wanadio (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Domi (33'), Bingham (86' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawEbbsfleet
20.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 56.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.92% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.71% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 20.73%
    Ebbsfleet 56.2%
    Draw 23.06%
Dover AthleticDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 10.99%
0-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-3 @ 5.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-4 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 56.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-4 Dartford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-0 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 0-6 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South


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