SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Worthing |
26.75% ( -6.43) | 23.46% ( -0.78) | 49.79% ( 7.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% ( 0.11) | 42.64% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.96% ( 0.11) | 65.04% ( -0.11) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -4.2) | 29.26% ( 4.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -5.48) | 65.23% ( 5.48) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 2.99) | 17.26% ( -2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.43% ( 5.01) | 47.57% ( -5.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -1.06) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 3.81% ( -1.05)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.84)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.45)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.68)Other @ 3.33% Total : 26.75% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.31)0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.62) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.77)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 1.32)1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.84)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 1.12)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.56)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.63)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.94% Total : 49.79% |
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