Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
Result | ||
Dover Athletic | Draw | Worthing |
22.29% ( -0.1) | 24.01% ( -0.07) | 53.7% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% ( 0.17) | 49.19% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.74% ( 0.15) | 71.25% ( -0.15) |
Dover Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.41% ( 0) | 36.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.62% | 73.37% ( 0) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.76% ( 0.12) | 18.24% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.72% ( 0.21) | 49.27% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Dover Athletic | Draw | Worthing |
1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.69% |
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