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National League South | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
0 - 3
Worthing


Goodman (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wills (10'), Pearce (26'), Kealy (69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Dartford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawWorthing
22.29% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 24.01% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 53.7% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.167 0.17)49.19% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.148 0.15)71.25% (-0.149 -0.15)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62%73.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (0.124 0.12)18.24% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (0.21 0.21)49.27% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 22.29%
    Worthing 53.69%
    Draw 24%
Dover AthleticDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 22.29%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 11.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.33% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Dartford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Welling United
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-0 Worthing
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Worthing
Thursday, December 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 4-3 Hampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South


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