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National League South | Gameweek 24
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium
DA

Tonbridge Angels
4 - 0
Dover Athletic

Turner (7'), Greenidge (16', 50'), Wood (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDover Athletic
41.58% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05) 26.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 32.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.7% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)73.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)24.59% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)59.08% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.013999999999996 0.01)30.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.16% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 41.58%
    Dover Athletic 32.22%
    Draw 26.2%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.58%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 32.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Slough
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Welling United
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-5 Weymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South


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