Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.