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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
32.62% ( 0.03) | 25.51% ( 0.01) | 41.87% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( -0.02) | 48.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.02) | 70.78% ( 0.02) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.01) | 28.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( 0.01) | 63.99% ( -0.01) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.03) | 23.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -0.04) | 56.95% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.87% |
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