In spite of MK Dons' underwhelming form at home, a lack of ruthlessness on the road is set to be Taunton's downfall against higher-level opposition this weekend.
Dray's men ought to enjoy the moment at Stadium MK, but the visitors will surely be consigned to a first-round exit as the Dons pick up a morale-boosting win and ticket to round two.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 68.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.