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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk

MK Dons
6 - 0
Taunton Town

Devoy (6'), Grigg (13'), Burns (48'), Eisa (74'), Grant (82', 84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Grimes (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

We said: MK Dons 3-0 Taunton Town

In spite of MK Dons' underwhelming form at home, a lack of ruthlessness on the road is set to be Taunton's downfall against higher-level opposition this weekend. Dray's men ought to enjoy the moment at Stadium MK, but the visitors will surely be consigned to a first-round exit as the Dons pick up a morale-boosting win and ticket to round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 68.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawTaunton Town
68.43% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02) 18.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 12.75% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)42.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)65.15% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)11.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.76% (-0.055 -0.05)36.24% (0.055 0.05)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)44.36% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)80.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 68.42%
    Taunton Town 12.75%
    Draw 18.82%
MK DonsDrawTaunton Town
2-0 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 68.42%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.82%
0-1 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 12.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Wycombe
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 0-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Plymouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 5-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South


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