Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.