Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
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