SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
53.07% ( 0.03) | 22.44% ( 0) | 24.49% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.02% ( -0.05) | 39.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.65% ( -0.05) | 62.35% ( 0.05) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( -0.01) | 15.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( -0.02) | 43.7% ( 0.02) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( -0.05) | 29.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( -0.06) | 65.63% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.91% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 24.5% |
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