SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Dover Athletic |
61.15% ( 0.02) | 21.49% ( -0.01) | 17.36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( 0.01) | 45.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( 0.01) | 67.54% ( -0.01) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( 0.01) | 14.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.92% ( 0.01) | 42.08% ( -0.02) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.47% ( -0.01) | 39.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.78% ( -0.01) | 76.21% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 61.14% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.36% |
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