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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Aveley |
34.42% ( -0.15) | 25.84% ( -0.13) | 39.74% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( 0.53) | 49.67% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( 0.47) | 71.68% ( -0.47) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0.16) | 27.63% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( 0.21) | 63.17% ( -0.2) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.39) | 24.63% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( 0.54) | 59.14% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.74% |
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