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National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 3
Aveley

Adom (63' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kyei (11'), Hernandez (15'), Hughes (45+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawAveley
34.42% (-0.154 -0.15) 25.84% (-0.128 -0.13) 39.74% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (0.53 0.53)49.67% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (0.473 0.47)71.68% (-0.47200000000001 -0.47)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.16 0.16)27.63% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (0.206 0.21)63.17% (-0.204 -0.2)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.39100000000001 0.39)24.63% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (0.544 0.54)59.14% (-0.543 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 34.42%
    Aveley 39.74%
    Draw 25.83%
Welling UnitedDrawAveley
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.54% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.74%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Dartford
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 4-0 Welling United
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Welling United
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 4-2 Welling United
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-1 Aveley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Slough
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Aveley
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Welling United
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 3-4 Farnborough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South


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