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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Aveley |
34.01% ( -0.28) | 25.42% ( -0.05) | 40.57% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( 0.19) | 47.91% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( 0.17) | 70.09% ( -0.17) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.08) | 27.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.1) | 62.4% ( 0.1) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 0.25) | 23.41% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( 0.36) | 57.41% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.01% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.57% |
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