SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braintree Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Aveley |
47.89% ( -0.09) | 25.16% ( 0.03) | 26.94% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% ( -0.08) | 49.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% ( -0.07) | 71.9% ( 0.07) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.07) | 20.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( -0.11) | 53.56% ( 0.11) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0) | 32.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( 0) | 69.52% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.89% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 26.94% |
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