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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
0 - 1
Welling United

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burchell (18')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWelling United
53.92% (-0.325 -0.33) 23.99% (0.218 0.22) 22.08% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.63% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.782 -0.78)49.34% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.71 -0.71)71.39% (0.706 0.71)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)18.21% (0.411 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-0.708 -0.71)49.22% (0.703 0.7)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (-0.338 -0.34)36.87% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.34 -0.34)73.66% (0.33600000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 53.92%
    Welling United 22.08%
    Draw 23.99%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.92%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Weston
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Welling United
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 5-2 Welling United
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South


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