SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Oxford City |
38.07% ( 0.36) | 25.2% ( -0.03) | 36.73% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0.14) | 46.6% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( 0.13) | 68.87% ( -0.13) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.25) | 24.12% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( 0.36) | 58.42% ( -0.36) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.12) | 24.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -0.16) | 59.44% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.73% |
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