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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
33.26% ( -0.14) | 24.2% ( 0) | 42.53% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.93% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.06) | 42.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( -0.06) | 64.93% ( 0.05) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( -0.11) | 24.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( -0.15) | 59.53% ( 0.15) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( 0.03) | 20.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.52% ( 0.05) | 52.47% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 42.53% |
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