SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.43%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Weymouth |
44.27% ( 0.02) | 22% ( 0.01) | 33.73% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 68.4% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.04) | 31.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.05) | 53.02% ( 0.05) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( -0) | 15.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.46% ( -0.02) | 43.54% ( 0.02) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.03) | 19.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( -0.04) | 51.35% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.73% |
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