Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.