SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Bath City | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 5 | 8 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Bath City |
66.91% ( 0.28) | 19.29% ( -0.07) | 13.81% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% ( -0.1) | 42.37% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.1) | 64.78% ( 0.11) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( 0.05) | 11.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.11% ( 0.1) | 36.89% ( -0.09) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( -0.36) | 42.5% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.13% ( -0.31) | 78.87% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Bath City |
| 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 66.9% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.29% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.81% |
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