SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
18.38% ( -0.08) | 21.54% ( 0.01) | 60.08% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( -0.16) | 43.75% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( -0.16) | 66.14% ( 0.16) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0.18) | 37.5% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% ( -0.18) | 74.28% ( 0.18) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( -0.03) | 14.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.19% ( -0.06) | 41.81% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.38% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.08% |
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