SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Weymouth |
65.66% ( 0.01) | 19.08% ( -0.01) | 15.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0.02) | 38.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.51% ( 0.02) | 60.48% ( -0.02) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.12% ( 0.01) | 10.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65% ( 0.02) | 35% ( -0.02) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.01) | 37.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( 0.01) | 74.65% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 4.43% Total : 65.66% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-1 @ 4% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.26% |
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