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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
30.65% ( 0.04) | 25.7% ( -0.02) | 43.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( 0.11) | 50.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.09) | 72.13% ( -0.1) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( 0.08) | 30.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( 0.1) | 66.52% ( -0.1) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0.04) | 22.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( 0.06) | 56.64% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.65% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.64% |
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