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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
24.18% ( 0.07) | 23.83% ( -0.02) | 51.99% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( 0.14) | 46.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( 0.14) | 68.79% ( -0.14) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.14) | 33.4% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( 0.16) | 70.03% ( -0.16) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( 0.03) | 17.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( 0.06) | 48.66% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.99% |
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