SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
29.78% ( -1.41) | 24.74% ( 0.05) | 45.47% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.87) | 46.46% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( -0.82) | 68.73% ( 0.82) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -1.38) | 29.06% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( -1.74) | 64.97% ( 1.74) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( 0.24) | 20.5% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% ( 0.38) | 52.99% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.47% |
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