SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
29.91% ( -0.45) | 25.79% ( -0.06) | 44.31% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( 0.06) | 50.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( 0.05) | 72.73% ( -0.06) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.29) | 31.21% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( -0.34) | 67.55% ( 0.34) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.27) | 22.88% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( 0.4) | 56.62% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.91% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.31% |
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