Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
