Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 38.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
